OCD Picks - Home of the Football Handicapping Champion
Up against the nation's elite handicappers as professionally monitored by Sports-Watch and the National Handicappers Bowl. Check out his 2009 NFL Football record, his 2009 College Football record, and his 2009 College Bowl record on SPORTSWATCH!
OC Dooley was also the 2009 NFL Over/Under totals champion as reported by The National Handicappers Bowl!
In 2010, his winning record continued. OC Dooley was # 1 in the NFL Preseason, #1 in the College Football Postseason Bowls, and #3 in the NFL Playoffs.
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***"9-3-1" all BASKETBALL for the week***
--Monday Hornets (+4') COVER in close 104-102 home clash versus Spurs
--Monday Arkansas Pine Bluff (+5') COVERS in close 76-75 road tussle on ESPNU cable
--Tuesday "5 UNIT" Best Bet bombshell Raptors (+6) OUTRIGHT at Suns snapping a 14-game series losing skid
--Tuesday Raptors (+210) outright on the MONEY LINE
--Tuesday Raptors/Suns OVER (188') WINS in 99-96 contest
--Tuesday ESPN Kentucky/Georgia OVER (130') fails in a 57-44 final verdict
--Wednesday ESPN Duke (-10') COVERS in a 74-61 triumph at Maryland
--Wednesday Drake (+5') fails to cover an eight-point home setback (visiting Creighton wins six straight on road for first time in 37 years)
--Wednesday New Mexico (-11') COVERS in an 85-52 home romp over Colorado State
--Wednesday NBA-TV Lakers (-3') COVER in 96-91 home triumph versus city rival Clippers
--Thursday 3-Unit Best Bet Santa Clara (+3) fails to cover in a "triple revenge" setup versus visiting rival San Francisco (90-77 home loss for Santa Clara off to worst-ever franchise start in conference play)
--Thursday NCAA Arizona State (+7) COVERS in 60-54 final home verdict against Washington
--Thursday NBA/TNT Celtics/Magic OVER (174) PUSHES in 91-83 contest
The most recent MARQUEE Best Bet monster (4 Units) involved an unusual handicapping setup seen on the NBC Sports Network. Wednesday marked only the sixth time since 2004 the two of hockey's "original six" franchises that are over a century old faced off. Heavy underdog Montreal (+145) cashed a WINNING ticket with ease in a 7-2 rout of Detroit on home ice
STILL UNDEFEATED: All National-TV Best Bet releases from the NBA "4-0" for the season with the most recent last Friday's ESPN thriller as the Timberwolves (+5) pulled off the OUTRIGHT upset at the Clippers on a last-second trey from star Kevin Love who has already set an all-time league record for most consecutive "double doubles" (points, rebounds) to start a brand new campaign with 14. All premium clients were informed after 6:00 eastern last Friday that LA Clippers star Chris Paul was missing a fourth consecutive contest due to injury. With the Clippers taking the floor for the fourth time in five nights, the absence of Paul who averages 18 points, 8 assists and 2.8 steals per contest was critical
***COLLEGE MARQUEE MONSTERS***
The most recent Marquee monster "4 Unit" NCAA move was eight days ago when Washington State (+1) who was playing on their own home floor for the first time in more than one month WON straight-up in an 81-69 rout of Stanford
Opening NCAA "5 UNIT" Best Bet of the season was nine days ago as Central Florida (-1) for the first time in school history finally found a way to defeat traditional conference power Memphis in a 68-67 thriller. Last Wednesday's triumph extended Central Florida's home winning streak to SIXTEEN in a row
NFL BEST BETS PAST EIGHT WEEKEND CARDS STELLAR (10-4)
The extended WEEKLY package covers all sports now through the 2/5 Super Bowl and more from the handicapper ranked number two in the recently completed college football postseason at (www.sports-watch.com)
HAPPY HOLIDAY CASH$$$
--BEST BETS all sports solid 30-19 past forty-one days
--All BEST BET action 41-26 the past fifty-four days
--NFL Best Bets 15-8 since 11/21
--NFL Best Bets past eight weekend cards combined STELLAR (10-4)
--All premium service football, basketball and hockey 70-64 past thirty-nine days
--College football Best Bets long term PROFIT (41-26) final seventeen weeks of coverage
--College football postseason BOWL BEST BETS finish "8-4" with MARQUEE monsters "2-1"
--NBA BEST BETS (5-2) out of the gate with National-TV moves UNDEFEATED (4-0)
--NCAA basketball 28-22 so far
OPENING NBA "5 UNIT" BEST BET EVENT TUESDAY
A daring move with the Raptors (+6) who won both OUTRIGHT on the road and on the MONEY LINE (+210)
TONIGHT’S SPECIAL “5 UNIT” NBA REDZONE BEST BET (Raptors +5’ at Suns in a 9:00 eastern tipoff): This is one of those wagers where the oddsmakers have made a major statement simply by the way they chose to price a particular contest. Not only does visiting Toronto limp in to this evening’s contest riding an 0-8 skid, the Raptors just happen to have lost an incredible 14 consecutive meetings against the Suns in this series. One has to wonder why Phoenix is not being asked to lay more points at home this evening and one of the reasons has to do with a brutal recent SCHEDULE which I will detail in a moment. The real key to this special selection surrounds the fact that Toronto’s #1 player Andrea Bargnani is slated to finally return to the court following a lengthy seven-game absence where he has been nursing a strained calf muscle. Without Bargnani who statistically leads his team in average points per game (22) and is also a force on the boards (6 rebounds per contest), the Raptors offense has been virtually non-existent including in the FIRST QUARTER where the per game average (14.3) has been deplorable. In Toronto’s most recent loss which was Sunday in Los Angeles against the Clippers, the entire front line produced just 15 points and 7 rebounds COMBINED, while committing a grand total of 10 fouls. In that Sunday loss the five starters for the Raptors combined to hot only 9 field goal attempts, but there was actually some GOOD news as the various reserves combined for a season-high 58 points. One of those reserves who make a major contribution off the bench was the same Leandro Barbosa (13 points per game off the pine) who is an EX-PHOENIX SUNS player and will have some special emotion tonight in his return to the Valley of the Sun. For those familiar with this year’s Phoenix squad it is an AGING contingent that no longer is able to play the up-tempo style which was the signature of the franchise for more than a decade. As mentioned earlier in this analysis the schedule for the veteran Suns has been brutal as they just completed a stretch of 5 different ROAD affairs in a condensed 9-day span. If Toronto is ever going to have a chance to snap this ugly 0-14 series losing skid, one could argue that tonight is a “must win” since Phoenix is un-rested after facing the defending NBA champions (Dallas) on the highway last night. Once again for those who are familiar with Phoenix they have tended to play to the level of their competition as they have already suffered three outright losses at HOME this campaign against a trio of awful opponents (Nets, Cavaliers, Hornets). During the just-completed five game road swing, the veteran Suns were motivated enough to pull off outright upsets at New York and Boston, but one has to question their motivation against a horrible opponent tonight especially since Steve Nash/Grant Hill and company are exhausted. My database research has uncovered a system that deals with both Toronto losing eight consecutive games straight-up. Here is an approaching 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (54-25 since 1996 with a money-line between 3’ and 9’ points) which actually plays AGAINST home favorites like Phoenix off an outright defeat, against an opponent who has suffered 8 consecutive straight-up setbacks. To put this special release in proper context Toronto is attempting to snap a 14-game “series” losing streak tonight against an EXHUASTED and veteran Phoenix squad that just wrapped up a brutal road-trip that saw them take the court 5 times in a 9-day span. With #1 scorer Andrea Bargnani finally returning to the lineup after a lengthy absence, this is the perfect situation for Toronto to finally break through in what I argue is a “must win” situation
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Close but no cigar as the Giants win 20-17 in overtime
TONIGHT’S “4 UNIT” REDZONE NFL PLAYOFF BEST BET (49ers -2 at home versus Giants in a 6:35 eastern NFC Championship kickoff televised on Fox): Admittedly it has been a breakout campaign in San Francisco courtesy of their intense new head coach Jim Harbaugh, but it still comes as a bit of a shock that this squad has been posted as a home favorite this evening since the visiting side has the more accomplished quarterback Eli Manning who already has won a Super Bowl MVP award. In addition Manning is just one step away from another championship appearance in Indianapolis where his brother Peyton used to be a star. Even though this has been a very high scoring season in the NFL where a host of quarterbacks put up record-setting numbers, it is interesting to note that two of the league’s top 4 defensive squads are still standing as we enter Championship Sunday. Due to massive injuries that robbed the team of 3 different starting secondary players even before the regular season started, the Giants stop-unit had a very low overall ranking (27). While New York did get healthier down the stretch on an active defensive line, the fact remains that the secondary can be taken advantage of. Since San Francisco has for the most part received little in the way of national coverage, there are only a selected few across the nation aware that their defense is just as PHYSICAL as that of either Pittsburgh or Baltimore. Since both of those squads are perceived to be dirtier and more physical, they receive more penalty flags than the 49ers which is a huge benefit to today’s home side. We have seen in the initial two rounds of the playoffs that TURNOVERS can swing a contest and that is exactly what happened a week ago when the 49ers ended a long nine-year playoff drought. In the opening quarter they dropped New Orleans running back Pierre Thomas with such force that he literally wobbled to the locker room and never returned. Just this morning legendary football coach Joe Paterno passed away unfortunately while the program he built is under scrutiny. But the bottom line is that he was able to last 46 years as a winning coach due to instilling both a solid rushing attack, along with defensive pressure. That is a combination that also has traditionally won in the NFL playoffs and the 49ers have executed to perfection especially on the defensive side of the football where the physical unit during the regular campaign knocked out running backs Felix Jones (Dallas) and Jahvid Best (Detroit). Most of the nation expected tonight’s NFC Championship to be a battle between a pair of high profile quarterbacks (Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees) but the general lack of a solid RUSHING attack put both the Packers and Saints behind the eight-ball so to speak. Not only was the Giants defense ranked extremely low during the regular season, so was the running game even though anchored by a pair of veterans. Going back to a point made earlier in this analysis, one has to wonder why the 49ers are favored since the Giants are a perfect 4-0 in NFC Championship appearances (also 6-0 SU/ATS on the playoff road with Tom Coughlin as head coach). In a year of unusual developments we actually have a pair of sides that are attempting to go UNDEFEATED for the entire campaign in front of their HOME fans. While New Orleans already pulled the trick (9-0 ATS), San Francisco enters today with an 8-0-1 ATS mark at Candlestick Park. Turning to the database here is a 74-PERCENT SYSTEM (44-16 past five years) which plays ON teams like San Francisco after allowing 25+ points in consecutive games, against an opponent off a double-digit margin of victory. Here is another 74-PERCENT SYSTEM (48-17 past five years) which actually plays AGAINST road underdogs like the Giants off a double-digit margin of victory, after participating in a very high scoring affair where 50+ points were put on the scoreboard. That system agrees with a three-year trend where the Giants are 5-14 ATS when off a contest where 50+ points were put on the scoreboard. Now you know why I am labeling this the “NFL Playoff System Game of the Year”
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (Ravens +7 at Patriots in a 3:05 eastern kickoff on CBS): I actually want to take all of you back to exactly one year ago to the NFC Championship game where Chicago played on their own home field and ended up losing straight-up. The week prior in the Divisional round Chicago grabbed an early 28-0 lead and destroyed a below .500 opponent (Seattle) who basically had not right to be participating in the postseason. One year later we have a similar setup but this time in the AFC where New England is coming off a rout against an opponent (Denver) who came from a weak division and basically had no right to be in the postseason. Despite the mania created by Tim Tebow, Denver’s head coach described his team following last week’s pummeling as quote a “work in progress”. The bottom line is that down the stretch of the regular season (and also one postseason contest), New England has had a very easy schedule. The last time Tom Brady and company hosted a “true” quality opponent was in early November when the Giants (+9’) pulled off the OUTRIGHT upset. In the past six games the Patriots have had to deal with the Denver Broncos twice along with a host of other non-playoff entrants (Dolphins, Redskins, Colts) who have already switched head coaches or are about to. There is no disputing the previous success that the combination of coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady have had, but most of that success was when opposing offenses were confused by shuffling defensive alignments designed by New England’s brilliant leader. The bottom line is that the Patriots this campaign did NOT have a dominating stop-unit, especially in the secondary which yielded the second-most passing yards in NFL history. I will admit that Baltimore lacks a marquee quarterback, but the fact of the matter is Joe Flacco is the first signal caller since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger to reach the playoffs in each of his initial 4 professional seasons. Baltimore leans on Ray Rice who led all of football this season in total yardage (2,068). The Ravens also have a dominating defense ranked 3rd in the league in points (16.6) and yardage (288) allowed. Last week we saw a stunning upset as Green Bay was dealing with an offensive coordinator whose son had just tragically lost his life. New England’s offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien also has other things on his mind as he as already has been named the new Penn State head coach. Baltimore is 10-2 ATS/ROAD the past three years when off a “spread” defeat. Against playoff opposition during the regular season Baltimore (5-0 ATS) ran the table
COLLEGE POSTSEASON FOOTBALL THREE WEEKS AGO (7-4-1)
Sunday night it was a Best Bet on Arkansas State (-1) who lost outright. The Red Wolves enterted the GoDaddy Bowl with the most overall wins (10) since the 1986 campaign. As mentioned above the Saturday Bowl Best Bet cashed a WINNING ticket. Friday it was the Kansas State/Arkansas Cotton Bowl UNDER (65') WINNING with ease in a contest with a combined 45 points scored. It was one year ago when Arkansas' defense rose 53 spots to #36 nationally and on Friday the Razorbacks stop-unit gave up only 16 points. Thursday it was a rare setback as favored Clemson folded in their first Orange Bowl appearace in 30 years. The Tigers were dominated by a Virginia Tech contingent missing their #1 rusher and top defensive safety due to injury. The last Bowl MARQUEE Best Bet monster (Bowl System Total of the Year) on "Michigan/Virginia Tech" Under 52 WON with ease Tuesday despite the Sugar Bowl extending into overtime of what turned out to be a 23-20 contest. Among Monday's releases a BEST BET TOTAL (Over) from the Rose Bowl which turned into the highest scoring "grandaddy" clash since 1902. Also on Monday motivated Florida covered the spread as a favorite against an Ohio State contingent that recently hired their former head coach Urban Meyer. On Monday underdog Michigan State won OUTRIGHT in an overtime thriller as the Spartans finally snapped a "ten year" Bowl losing streak. Late on Monday Stanford (+4') almost pulled off an outright upset, but missed a game-winning field goal. Despite a pair of field goal misses, justice was served as the Cardinal held on for the "spread" triumph in what was a rare National TV outing for heralded quarterback Andrew Luck. The lone New Year's setback was a a Best Bet on underdog Penn State who ended up suffering consecutive Bowl losses for the first time since the mid-1970's
***The final college football MARQUEE Best Bet monster was Tuesday 1/3 on the gridiron (details below)***
BOWL SYSTEM TOTAL OF THE YEAR
Despite the 1/3 Sugar Bowl extending to overtime, Michigan/Virginia Tech "UNDER 52 "cashed an easy WINNING ticket (23-20 final score)
TONIGHT’S “4 UNIT” REDZONE BEST BET FOOTBALL TOTAL (Michigan versus Virginia Tech UNDER 52 in an 8:35 eastern Sugar Bowl kickoff on ESPN): One of the keys to this total surrounds the change of coaches at Michigan as Rich Rodriguez (master of the “spread” offense) was fired shortly after a humbling 52-14 New Year’s humiliation a year ago at this time. The Wolverines administration made a brilliant move by hiring Brady Hoke who a year ago led a relatively small San Diego State football program to a rare postseason berth. Almost immediately after landing the Michigan job, Hoke stressed a return to FUNDEMENTALS which is something he successfully implemented out on the west coast. It was one year ago when Michigan’s stop-unit was ranked a horrible #108 nationally in points allowed. That same Michigan DEFENSE operating with a new leader comes into tonight with a lofty #7 national ranking in points allowed, which gives you an idea why this program is participating in a BCS-sanctioned Bowl game as a “wild card”. Most reading this analysis are most likely aware that Virginia Tech’s DEFENSIVE coordinator Bud Foster has been at Frank Beamer’s side through his entire 24-year reign. When given extra time to formulate a gameplan, Foster has been brilliant while team leader Beamer has always put heavy emphasis on defense-and-special teams. Yesterday the posted total for this Sugar Bowl was 51 points, which was actually below the opening number. Early this evening (eastern time zone) there has been a significant increase in the total which in part is a reaction to the results of yesterday’s gridiron activity, especially the pair of BCS-sanctioned Bowls. The first quarter of Monday’s first game signaled how wild the traditional New Year’s Bowl games would be as Houston star quarterback Case Keenum passed for an amazing 227 yards which was the most in a single quarter of any Bowl game in NCAA history. Yesterday we saw the highest scoring Rose Bowl in the history of the traditional event which spans back to 1902. Last night a pair of exceptional quarterbacks including a future NFL #1 draft pick put on a show in 41-38 shootout. I will admit that the Michigan offense has put 116 combined points on the scoreboard in the past three games, but the team has not taken the field since 11/26 as they did not participate in the inaugural Big 10 Championship game, thus I am expecting some “rust” especially in the early going. To make a long story short, my database has spit out more SYSTEMS on tonight’s contest than another other college football postseason affair. In major Bowl games played in JANUARY with a total between 49’-and-56 points, UNDER the spot has hit 75% of the time (86-46) dating back to the 1992 campaign. In neutral-field games involving a pair of TOP-LEVEL programs in a non-conference battle, the UNDER is 42-14 since 1992 (75%) efficiency) if both sides are from major Division I-A leagues (and with a total of 49’-to-56). Finally here is an 84-PERCENT SYSTEM (27-5 past decade with a total between 49’-and-56 points on a neutral field) involving a team like Michigan on a 3-1 run and facing a hot opponent who in on an 8-2 tear, UNDER the total. With more than 20 systems lining up on the UNDER, I am personally labeling this game as the BOWL SYSTEM TOTAL OF THE YEAR
NEW YEARS BOWL BEST BETS
It was a rare setback as Penn State (+7) failed to cover a 30-14 contest which saw the school lose consecutive Bowl games for the first time since the mid-1970's. Going into Monday 1/2 previously undefeated Bowl favorites like Houston off an initial loss where the defense had given up at least 40 points were "0-6" ATS in their postseason appearance, but that undefeated long term pattern was snapped. But it was the Grandaddy of them all to the rescue as the BEST BET TOTAL (Wisconsin/Oregon Over 73) cashed a WINNING ticket in a 45-38 shootout that was the highest-scoring Rose Bowl in history
FINAL NFL "5 UNIT" REGULAR SEASON BEST BET EVENT WINS WITH EASE
In a 38-26 shootout at Oakland which cashed a WINNING ticket (Over 48' points) prior to the fourth quarter on 1/1
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL BEST BETS (4-1 four weeks ago)
Including California/Texas UNDER (48) WINS in a low scoring 21-10 affair. With both teams wrapping up the regular season involved in extremely high scoring contests where a combined 85 and 72 points were put on the scoreboard respectively, the relatively low posted total spoke volumes. The Thursday Best Bet two weeks ago on Baylor (-9') was a miracle COVER as the Bears came from way down to post a wild 67-56 victory (first postseason triumph for school since 1992). Friday it was Oklahoma (-13') COVERING the Insight Bowl in a 31-14 triumph versus injury depleted Iowa who also was suffering attrition on the coaching staff. The lone Best Bet on New Year's Eve was a 4-Unit MARQUEE total which saw the Sun Bowl OVER (49) WIN as Utah and Georgia Tech extended into overtime of a 30-27 shootout. The oddsmakers made a loud statement casting a relatively high total even though Georgia Tech in the prior 3 Bowl appearances had put only a combined 24 points on the scoreboard. The Sun Bowl was the final time that newly appointed Hawaii head coach (and former USC offensive architect) Norm Chow would be coordinator of the Utah attack
10-4 NFL BEST BETS PAST EIGHT "WEEKEND" CARDS
On Saturday (Christmas Eve) a MARQUEE 4-Unit monster on the Lions (-2) COVERS with ease in a 38-10 rout of the Chargers. After recovering from a two-touchdown on the road the prior week which included an amazing 98-YARD drive, Detroit returned in front of their HOME fans and officially locked up the first playoff sport for the franchise since way back in 1999. Saturday's Christmas Eve NATIONAL-TV Best Bet total saw the "Eagles/Cowboys" UNDER (51) also WIN with ease in a very low scoring 20-7 contest. Dallas was coming off their BEST defensive performance of the season the prior week allowing just 190 total yards. Even though a bit late Philadelphia's defense gelled down the stretch and one week ago they stopped 10 of 13 "third down" plays and held an opponent to just 241 yards and 13 first-downs
SPECIAL NFL "5 UNIT" EVENT THURSDAY 12/22 WINS (19-16 final score)
The Texans franchise was 0-9 lifetime at the Colts in part due to poor defense. But with the help of new coordinator Wade Phillips, Houston ranked #2 versus the run and #3 defending the pass during the regular season. On 12/22 in front of a nationally-televised primetime audience Houston flexed their defense as the "Texans/Colts" UNDER (40) hit the mark
--All NFL Best Bets PROFIT (15-8) since 11/21--NFL Primetime Best Bet Thursday "5 UNIT" event Texans/Colts UNDER (40') WINS in low scoring 19-16 affair on 12/22
--"10-4" NFL Best Bets last eight WEEKEND cards combined
*****Saturday special "5 Unit" college football Best Bets remained UNDEFEATED for the season (4-0) including a COVER on 12/10 by underdog Army. The top-rated Marquee Saturday college football Best Bet end the regular season successfully covering the spread 10 times in 15 overall weeks of action*****
***41-26 BEST BETS PAST FIFTY-FOUR DAYS***
***SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL EVENT***
Special "5 UNIT" Best Bet Saturday football bombshells UNDEFEATED for the season (4-0) including on 12/10 which saw Army (+7) COVER in 27-21 tussle against Navy
TODAY’S SPECIAL “5 UNIT” FOOTBALL REDZONE BEST BET (Army +7 versus Navy in a 2:30 eastern kickoff televised on CBS): Navy has dominated this series recently winning the past nine meetings by an average of near 26 points per game. In that time span the closest final result was five years ago when the Naval Academy still managed to win by a 12-point count, so one has to wonder why today we have just a 7 point spread. One of the main reasons is that Navy’s 8 consecutive winning campaigns which were accompanied by a postseason Bowl appearance finally has been snapped. Today marks the first Army/Navy battle since way back in 2002 where both sides have failed to qualify for the postseason, which makes this particular contest a true “Bowl” affair for both sides. In the long 121-year history of this series we have NEVER had a game played in the Washington D.C. area which geographically is right next to the Pentagon. The proximity to so many military members have added a unique element to this year’s contest which is almost like a home game for both sides. Both teams have been off for THREE full weeks which favors Army who has had a chance to get their starting signal caller back to full health. Going into this campaign Trent Steelman had started all 25 games since arriving at West Point and in 2010 he completed more than 50% of his passes while tossing just 3 interceptions in 133 attempts. Steelman missed spring practice due to offseason shoulder surgery and also missed most of four regular season games with a slow to heal high ankle sprain. Three weeks ago Steelman had to make an early exit due to a knee injury which is one of the reasons why Army was drilled by a 42-14 count on the scoreboard. In that contest Army was facing a Temple contingent that was passed over for a Bowl appearance a year ago and thus had special motivation. In addition for those who followed Temple through the season they had a knack of failing to cover the spread during the week, as opposed to Saturday afternoons. Not only does Army have their #1 quarterback relatively healthy after an extended break, the Black Knights are actually ranked #1 nationally in rushing (351 yards per game) where they have averaged a healthy 5.6 yards per carry. As mentioned earlier this has been a very rough season for Navy who suffered five different “close” losses by a grand total of just 11 points. One of the many reasons for those near-misses was due to SPECIAL TEAMS difficulty as even before the season began saw the Middies having to replace both their starting kicker and punter from the 2010 squad. This campaign the Middies have missed 4 different extra-point attempts, while botching or missing special teams snaps in 8 of the 11 games played. Meanwhile Navy had to replace nine of their eleven starters from the 2010 defensive unit, which is one of the reasons why they rank way down at #81 nationally in defending the run. For those who watch CBS this afternoon keep an eye on Army linebacker Andrew Rodriguez who will be playing the final game of a career that seemed in jeopardy two years ago when he suffered a weightlifting accident that herniated a pair of disks in his back. Doctors discovered that he already was born with a narrow spinal column, but made a decision that it was not a potential paralysis condition. Rodriguez has played every game this season and is #3 in overall tackles for an Army contingent that named him one of the team captains. I want all reading this analysis to be aware that Navy has covered 14 of the past 19 in this series, but the mere location of today’s rivalry battle along with the fact that both sides are “non” Bowl eligible makes TAKING the generous points a very lucrative option
***NCAA BASKETBALL (28-22) SO FAR***
--1/26 Best Bet Santa Clara (+3) fails in a 90-77 home loss versus a geographic rival (school's worst-ever start in conference play)
--1/26 Arizona State (+7) COVERS in 60-54 final home verdict against Washington
--1/25 ESPN Duke (-10') COVERS in in 74-61 road triumph at Maryland
--1/25 Drake (+5') failed to cover a 77-69 home contest versus Creighton
--1/25 New Mexico (-11') COVERS with ease in 85-52 home rout of Colorado State
--1/24 ESPN Kentucky/Georgia OVER (130') fails in 57-44 contest
--1/23 ESPNU cable Arkansas Pine Bluff (+5') COVERS in a close 76-75 road tussle
--1/22 Virginia Tech/Virginia OVER (114) fails in a low scoring
--1/21 Best Bet South Carolina (-2) fails in 63-52 road loss (favored even though on 2-15 conference slide)
--1/21 Florida International (+3) COVERS in close 66-64 contest
--1/21 Florida State/Duke UNDER (144) fails in final 30-seconds of 76-73 contest
--1/19 MARQUEE 4-Unit Best Bet monster Washington State (+1) OUTRIGHT in first contest on own home floor in more than a one-month span
--1/19 BEST BET Florida International (+6) OUTRIGHT as star senior guard returns from injury for the first time in more than a one-month span
--1/19 Loyola-Marymount (+17') stunning OUTRIGHT upset at Brigham Young in a revenge special
--1/18 opening 5-UNIT Best Bet Central Florida (-1 or pick) WINS outright for first time ever versus Memphis in a 68-67 thriller
--1/18 Miami Florida (-4) fails to cover by ONE point in a 76-73 outright triumph against a Clemson squad they had lost the prior five tilts against
--1/18 Kent State (+5) fails in a 87-65 road setback versus rival Ohio
--1/18 Marshall (+4') fails in a 78-62 home loss versus rival West Virginia
--1/16 Boise State (+6') fails to cover a 66-55 road setback at Colorado State
--1/15 ESPN Baylor/Kansas UNDER (139) fails in a high scoring 92-74 shootout
--1/14 BEST BET Nevada-Las Vegas (-2) fails in a 69-67 road loss decided with less than ONE SECOND remaining
--1/14 Rhode Island (+6') fails to cover by a HOOK in a 78-71 loss versus Duqesne who they had beaten in 13 of the prior 17 series meetings
--1/13 Northern Iowa (-6) fails to cover in 61-60 straight up home triumph versus Missouri State
--1/12 ESPN "Virginia/Duke" UNDER (128') WINS in a low scoring 61-58 contest
--1/12 Western Carolina (+14') fails to cover in an 88-67 road setback at Davidson
--1/11 Marquee BEST BET monster Towson State (+4') fails to cover despite a whopping "23-4" System
--1/11 Marquette (-13') COVERS with ease in a 83-64 home rout of St. Johns
--1/11 Rice (+2) OUTRIGHT road upset in a 68-52 triumph at SMU
--1/11 LSU (+12) fails to cover in a 69-53 setback at Alabama
--1/10 Georgia (+15') failed to cover in a 70-48 Best Bet setback at Florida on ESPN
--12/28 Missouri State (+10) OUTRIGHT 77-65 road upset at nationally-ranked Creighton
--12/22 Air Force (+16') COVERS in 70-60 contest at Gonzaga
--12/21 BEST BET North Carolina (-10') COVERS in an 82-63 home romp of Texas
--12/20 BEST BET Northeastern (-1') fails in a 56-53 loss at Louisiana Tech
--12/20 Richmond (-4) COVERS in 90-82 home triumph versus Old Dominion
--12/19 BEST BET Davidson (+13') OUTRIGHT 80-74 upset at Kansas
--12/17 BEST BET Southern Mississippi (-4') fails by a HOOK in a "four point" margin of victory (last second 3-pointer nailed by visitor)
--12/16 Utah (+2) OUTRIGHT upset as team rallies for fallen teammate who underwent brain surgery two days earlier
--12/14 ESPN Florida International (+11) COVERS in close 65-61 contest at Maryland
--12/13 BEST BET Wisconsin-Milwaukee (+13) COVERS competitive 60-54 home tussle versus in-state rival Wisconsin
--12/9 BEST BET Wyoming (+4') OUTRIGHT upset at Colorado 65-54
--12/7 Pepperdine (+1) OUTRIGHT 49-40 road upset at Northern Arizona
--12/6 Long Beach State (+13') COVERS in 88-80 ESPNU televised tussle at Kansas
--12/5 Charleston Southern (+17) fails to cover a 76-51 road loss at Florida State
--11/29 Ohio State (-7') COVERS with ease in 85-63 rout of Duke (part of Tuesday TV PARLAY)
--11/29 Virginia (-3') COVERS in a 70-58 rout of Michigan (part of Tuesday TV PARLAY)
--11/25 St. Louis (-1) COVERS with ease in 80-68 rout of Villanova (part one of Black Friday TV PARLAY)
--11/25 Central Florida (+7) OUTRIGHT 68-63 upset of Connecticut (part two of Black Friday TV PARLAY)
--11/23 Western Kentucky (+5) fails to cover a 68-45 home loss versus Virginia Commonwealth
--11/15 Elon College (+6') OUTRIGHT upset 58-53 versus South Carolina (first time Elon hosted a power-conference opponent)
***"30-18" WEEKNIGHT COLLEGE FOOTBALL FINAL FOURTEEN WEEKS***
ALL NFL PRIMETIME RELEASES (25-20) PAST TWELVE WEEKS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS PROFIT (20-13) FINAL FIFTY-SEVEN DAYS COVERAGE
***THANKSGIVING MARQUEE BEST BET NFL GIFT***
Packers/ Lions UNDER (56) WINS BY TWO TOUCHDOWNS (27-15 final score in a contest that featured only seven points scored in the opening half)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
--Best Bets 41-26 final seventeen weeks (23-15 since 11/5)
--Top-rated marquee SATURDAY release successfully COVERING the spread 10 times in 15 weeks in regular season
NFL
--20-19 pro football PRIMETIME in the past thirteen weeks including "5 UNIT" Thursday event on 12/22 Texans/Colts UNDER (40') WINS in 19-16 contest
--50-49 all pro football past fifteen weeks
--81-75 all NFL since 1/15/11
***SATURDAY COLLEGE "5 UNIT" BEST BETS UNDEFEATED***
"4-0" including 10/22 when Florida State covered as an 18-point favorite in their first home game in 35 days. On 11/12 it was Colorado in their home finale (+10) pulling off the OUTRIGHT upset
THANK YOU BASEBALL FANS
All Marquee playoff Best Bets (4 Units or higher) finish a stellar 6-2 including an epic game-six of the World Series which easily played OVER (7) in a 10-9 slugfest
--NFL past 110 days (51-52) including the opening MNF "5 Unit" event cashing a WINNING ticket on 10/10
--Baseball playoff MARQUEE Best Bet monsters of 4-Units or higher outstanding 6-2 (all Best Bet sides-and-totals "9-4"). All postseason sides-and-totals profit (17-12)
Bears/Lions UNDER (47) WINS in a 24-13 final verdict on 10/10
***College Football Best Bets PROFIT (41-26) final seventeen weeks***
--1/9 BCS National Championship LSU (+2') fails to cover in a 21-0 final verdict against Alabama
--1/8 Arkansas State (-1) loses straight-up in the GoDaddy Bowl (despite having best season since 1986)
--1/7 North Dakota State (+3) OUTRIGHT against previously undefeated Sam Houston State in the Division I-AA Championship
--1/3 BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR "Michigan/Virginia Tech" UNDER (52) WINS with ease in 23-20 contest that extended to overtime
--1/2 MARQUEE monster Penn State (+7) fails to cover a 30-14 New Year's setback versus Houston
--1/2 Wisconsin/Oregon OVER (73) WINS in a 45-38 New Year's shootout which was highest scoring Rose Bowl in history
--12/31 MARQUEE monster Utah/Georgia Tech OVER (49) WINS in 30-27 overtime thriller in the Sun Bowl
--12/30 Oklahoma (-13') COVERS in 31-14 Insight Bowl triumph versus depleted Iowa
--12/29 Baylor (-9') COVERS in wild 67-56 Alamo Bowl shootout
--12/28 California/Texas UNDER (48) WINS in low scoring 21-10 contest
--12/27 Western Michigan/Purdue UNDER (62') fails in the Motor City Bowl with 69 combined points scored
--12/22 Boise State (-14) COVERS the Las Vegas Bowl in a 56-24 rout of Arizona State
--12/17 opening Bowl Best Bet (3 Units) Utah State/Ohio University OVER (61) fails in a 24-23 final verdict
--12/16 special Division I-AA playoff ESPN "5 Unit" total Montana/Sam Houston UNDER (56) fails in game with 59 combined points scored
--12/10 special "5 UNIT" event Army (+7) COVERS in 27-21 tussle versus rival Navy
--12/3 Marquee 4-Unit side Boise State (-48') just misses even though winning 45-0 on the scoreboard
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